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No insider purchase over the last 90 days. The latest was filed 09 Aug 2022.
Assured Guaranty Ltd: what insiders have been doing
Assured Guaranty Ltd belongs to the Banks sector. Filings by its managers are published through SEC (Form 4). Over the twelve months to 18 October 2026, 52 filings were filed, from 11 insiders.
There is no open-market purchase to report; the filings show 7 sales worth €15.7M by 4 insiders. At €8.7M, the sale published on 31 March 2026 by Borges Francisco l is the largest of the period (0.26% of market cap).
The median gap between a trade and its publication by SEC (Form 4) is 2 days. Section 16 rules allow two business days to file each Form 4. Selling is not necessarily a view on the stock: liquidity needs and diversification are common motives.
Across the 5,813 companies tracked on its exchange, the median is 19 filings; at 52 filings, this issuer sits above that mark. Since 2016, the database holds 2 purchases and 32 sales by insiders of the company. In its latest annual report filed with the SEC (10-K, fiscal year ended 31 December 2025), the company reported revenue of 1.11 bn USD and net income of 503.0 m USD, with a dividend of 1.36 USD per share.
Elsewhere in the same sector, our signals recently picked up insider purchases at First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. and BCB Bancorp Inc. Every figure here comes from the filings published by SEC (Form 4) and describes the past, not future prices; it is not investment advice.
Insider Decl.
279
Thresholds
n/a
Buy Volume
€285,818
2 ops. · all time
Sell Volume
€54M
32 ops. · all time
Who traded when
BuySaleDominic Frederico5 sales
Robert Bailenson4 sales
Lorin Radtke2 sales
Francisco L. Borges1 sale
Laura Bieling1 sale
Since the insiders bought
- +11.2%Entry US$54.25 · Close at T+365 US$60.31
Entry is the close on the day after publication, the first price a reader could act on. Prices in the listing currency. Past moves are not a forecast.
This score ranks the purchase within its own market. A position size is suggested only on the venues of the backtested strategy universe; elsewhere, signals stay on watch. Not investment advice.
Fundamental score
Ranked 1,017 of 24,158 companies
79.9
score / 100
Value87
Quality73
FCF yld8.3%
Earn yld16%
EV/EBITDA·
ROE6.7%
Gross mgn·
Net mgn49%
Debt/EBITDA·
Pillars2/3
Transparent value + quality ranking, distinct from the insider signal.
Financial data
as of FY 2025FY ended December 2025 · cache
US$70.85
Analyst consensus
3 analysts1.33/5
US$85.00Target US$91.00(+28%)US$97.00
Income statement
RevenueUS$1B
Net incomeUS$503M43.2% margin
Valuation
PER (trailing)9.4x
PER (forward)10.1x
P/Book0.6x
Beta0.72
Balance sheet & cash
Market capUS$3.1B
Total debtUS$1.7B
Free Cash FlowUS$259M
Debt / Equity31%
Profitability & ownership
ROE6.7%
ROA1.6%
% insiders6.9%
% institutions96.7%
Last declaration on 21 August 2026
Declarations279 total
23,331 shares0Common SharesSEC:0001213900-26-092683:0
1,156 shares@ US$81.390.0031% mcap7.5% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-075630:0
6,446 shares@ US$77.56750.014% mcap50.5% of flowCommonSEC144:0001628280-26-044878
2,588 sharesCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-070181:1
24,159 sharesCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-070181:0
6,493 shares@ US$77.00090.013% mcap49.5% of flowCommonSEC144:0001628280-26-043793
1,047 shares@ US$74.320.0020% mcap24.1% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-063595:0
74 shares0Common SharesSEC:0001213900-26-062887:0
427 shares0Common SharesSEC:0001213900-26-060627:0
32,353 shares@ US$78.820.065% mcap10.8% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-055128:1
17,647 shares@ US$78.240.035% mcap5.8% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-055128:0
1,250 shares0Common SharesSEC:0001213900-26-037547:1
123,750 shares@ US$80.220.26% mcap95.3% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-037547:0
29,998 shares@ US$81.410.064% mcap4.2% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-033579:0
20,002 shares@ US$81.062.8% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-032973:0
1,219 shares@ US$87.1432.9% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-024212:0
1,220 shares@ US$85.117.9% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020485:0
318 shares@ US$85.117.7% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020474:0
4,244 shares@ US$85.115.6% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020483:0
416 shares@ US$85.113.0% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020488:0
9,494 shares@ US$85.113.4% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020477:0
34,785 shares@ US$85.115.0% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020475:0
445 shares@ US$85.115.1% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020487:0
2,767 shares@ US$88.393.8% of flowCommon SharesSEC:0001213900-26-020027:1
25 of 279 declarations
About Assured Guaranty Ltd
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) is a leading financial guaranty insurer with a U.S.-focused franchise and an international footprint. Although the parent company is based in Hamilton, Bermuda, the group operates through subsidiaries that serve public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and abroad. Its core business is credit protection: the company insures scheduled principal and interest payments on bonds and other obligations, helping municipalities, infrastructure issuers, utilities, and structured-finance borrowers access the capital markets on more favorable terms. ([assuredguaranty.com](https://assuredguaranty.com/investor-information/by-company/assured-guaranty-ltd?utm_source=openai))
The company has a long operating history in the financial guaranty space and notes in its 2024 annual report that it entered its 40th year in business. Over time, Assured Guaranty evolved into one of the most recognized names in bond insurance, supported by conservative risk selection, a large insured portfolio, and a capital-management framework designed to preserve underwriting discipline while returning excess capital to shareholders. Its organizational structure includes insurance subsidiaries, a Bermuda-based reinsurance platform, and an asset-management component linked to Sound Point. ([sec.gov](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1273813/000127381325000024/annualreport_2024.pdf?utm_source=openai))
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Operationally, Assured Guaranty is organized around four main new-business areas: U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance, and non-U.S. structured finance. The company insures municipal general obligations, tax-backed debt, transportation and utility credits, infrastructure financings, housing-related bonds, and selected structured transactions such as subscription finance and pooled corporate business. Management highlighted in second-quarter 2025 results that U.S. municipal penetration remained strong, while the company also continued to write infrastructure business in the U.K. and European Union. ([info.assuredguaranty.com](https://info.assuredguaranty.com/press-room/all-press-releases/news-details/2025/Assured-Guaranty-Ltd--Reports-Results-for-Second-Quarter-2025/default.aspx))
From a competitive standpoint, Assured Guaranty remains a dominant player in the U.S. municipal bond insurance market, a niche that has become more concentrated over time. In its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings release, the company stated that it led the U.S. municipal bond insurance market in 2025 with 58.5% of new-issue insured par sold, and it also posted a sizable secondary-market presence. That leadership matters because it reinforces brand value, supports recurring fee and investment income, and creates operating leverage when municipal issuance volumes improve. ([info.assuredguaranty.com](https://info.assuredguaranty.com/press-room/all-press-releases/news-details/2026/Assured-Guaranty-Ltd--Reports-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-2025-and-Full-Year-2025/default.aspx))
Recent developments are important for investors. In 2025, Assured Guaranty reported strong quarterly results, rising book value per share and active share repurchases, while also maintaining a quarterly dividend. At year-end 2025, it reported approximately $1.0 billion of alternative investments, including CLO equity tranches and other specialty funds, which adds income potential but also introduces some mark-to-market volatility. In January 2026, the company expanded beyond its traditional guaranty model by acquiring Warwick Company (UK) Limited, the indirect owner of Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd., signaling a strategic entry into life and annuity reinsurance. ([info.assuredguaranty.com](https://info.assuredguaranty.com/press-room/all-press-releases/news-details/2026/Assured-Guaranty-Ltd--Reports-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-2025-and-Full-Year-2025/default.aspx))
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