Coverage tells us where filings exist. Local evidence tells us whether a ranked signal can become an actionable recommendation. They are not the same claim.
Monthly top-10 backtest of the served ranking under strict point-in-time discipline, hold T+90, net of costs (audit 200).
Gold dot: 2025-2026 ran on an exceptional regime, never a guaranteed base rate.
Net of a 0.6% round-trip cost, returns winsorized at +-50%, T+90 hold. Figures were deliberately revised down in audit 200 to remove look-ahead bias: every input is point-in-time. Source: SCENARIO_RETURNS (audit 200). Backtest on public filings, not investment advice. Past performance does not predict future returns. Full methodology →
A market needs two positive disjoint confidence bounds and sufficient price coverage before its signals become actionable recommendations. The explorer above publishes what can be measured today, cell by cell: below 30 observations it says n<30 instead of inventing a number.
Zero parameters fitted on returns. The weights were frozen before the backtest.
The full report lives on one page: archived backtest, losing windows, statistical limits and the forward tracker.
Forward tracker: maturing, returns published from the threshold onwards.
OpenInsider covers the US for free. Quiver sells a US-only proprietary API. Bloomberg has it all, for $24k/yr. Sigma sits at the intersection: multi-market, open, backtested, AI-agent ready.
| Capability | Sigma | OpenInsider | Quiver | Bloomberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Form 4 (SEC) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Non-US filings (42 other covered markets) | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ (paywall) |
| FX-normalised cross-market | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ |
| Composite score (open formula) | ✓ | ✗ | proprietary | ✗ |
| Free interactive backtest viewer | ✓ | ✗ | paid | paid |
| Public REST API | ✓ (free tier) | ✗ | paid | enterprise |
| MCP server (AI-native) | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ |
| Entry price | €0 / €39 | $0 | $10+/mo | $24k/yr |
18 real captured signals, documented with their public filing and T+365 return (window Mar 2023 · May 2025).
We publish the losing windows of our backtests, and we publish where the backtest and the live ranking differ.
Regime-dependent simulation on real data, not a live return. Point-in-time strict: the figures were deliberately revised down (audit 200) to remove look-ahead bias, and re-measured on the repaired corpus (audit 216). The live ranking has run this construction since 2026-08-16, but these figures remain a backtest: no live window exists yet, and the served book covers more venues than the backtest universe. Past performance does not predict future returns. How we measure →
We monitor public filings across 43 markets and score eligible purchases from 0 to 100. Each purchase is ranked within its own market.
We publish the losing windows of our backtests, and we publish where the backtest and the live ranking differ.
Regime-dependent simulation on real data, not a live return. Point-in-time strict: the figures were deliberately revised down (audit 200) to remove look-ahead bias, and re-measured on the repaired corpus (audit 216). The live ranking has run this construction since 2026-08-16, but these figures remain a backtest: no live window exists yet, and the served book covers more venues than the backtest universe. Past performance does not predict future returns. How we measure →
Multi-market selection · locally ranked · unproven markets kept watch-only
Each card is one executive buying their own company's stock. When two, three, sometimes more executives of the same company buy within a few weeks, the signal carries more weight: we call that a cluster.
AMF, SEC, BaFin, SIX SER, RNS, SEDI, Consob, CNMV, AFM, FSMA, Oslo Børs, Helsinki, Copenhagen, ASX, FMA, CVM, HKEX, BSE-Sofia, Tadawul, DART, EDINET, SSE, SZSE, SEBI, KNF, PSE, NZX, JSE. Available public filings share one API schema. Field coverage and latency vary by source.
Volume declared, last 90 days
Total volume declared, all time