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Quantitative Signals & Scoring

Cluster signal

A pattern in which several distinct insiders at the same company buy within a short window, which historically predicts stronger forward returns than any single buy.

One executive buying might reflect personal liquidity, optimism, or a 10b5-1 plan. Three or four buying within a few weeks is far harder to explain away as noise: it signals a shared, bottom-up read on undervaluation. The cluster signal counts distinct insiders (not distinct trades) so that a single insider splitting one purchase into ten tickets does not fake a cluster.

Sources: Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (2012), Decoding Inside Information