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Performance & Risk Metrics

Market Beta Drift

The systematic change in a security or portfolio's sensitivity to broad market movements over time, indicating shifting exposure to systematic risk.

Market beta drift is the tendency of a stock's sensitivity to the market to change over time rather than stay fixed. A company that takes on leverage, shifts its business mix, or moves between growth and value regimes will see its beta move with it. Treating beta as a constant when it is in fact drifting leads to mispriced hedges and misattributed alpha.

You expose drift by re-estimating beta over rolling windows (commonly 30, 60, or 90 days) and watching how the estimate moves. A short window reacts fast but is noisy; a long window is smooth but lags real change. Comparing a stock's beta path to its sector peers helps tell a genuine structural shift from ordinary estimation noise.

Formula

\betat
Beta estimated at time t over rolling window
Rasset,t
Asset return at time t
Rmarket,t
Market benchmark return at time t
\tau
Lookback period for drift comparison (days or months)
Sources: Fama, E.F. & French, K.R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. · SEC Office of Market Intelligence, Insider Trading Surveillance Manual (2023)