Top-50 patterns audit (2026-05-20)

Run at 2026-05-20T20:26:34.664Z. Cohort: BUY only, pubDate >= 2023, returnFromPub90d filled. Total rows: 60499. Total buckets: 860. Qualifying (n>=30, mean>=8%): 27.

Methodology

Each row gets a 7-dim signature (role, cluster, pctMcap bucket, earnings proximity bucket, related-kind bucket, sector momentum bucket, market-cap bucket). Buckets with n>=30 and mean 90d return >=8% are kept. Sharpe-like = mean/std (not annualized, raw 90d).

Stability tag: 'Y' if IS (pub<2025) n>=10 and OOS (pub>=2025) n>=5 and both mean >=4%.

Top 50 patterns

#	signature	n	mean_r90%	med%	sharpe-like	win%	stable	IS mean (n)	OOS mean (n)
1	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_entity	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_LARGE	61	10.2
2	OTHER	CLU	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_DOWN	MCAP_SMALL	31	47.7
3	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_entity	SEC_UP	MCAP_LARGE	63	40.4
4	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_NA	EP_<0.3	KIND_direct	SEC_UP	MCAP_LARGE	40	21.9
5	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0.7+	KIND_entity	SEC_NA	MCAP_LARGE	521	11.3
6	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_<0.3	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_MID	43	10.2
7	CEO	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_LARGE	38	13.1
8	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_DOWN	MCAP_MICRO	45	20.5
9	BOARD	CLU	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_DOWN	MCAP_SMALL	34	13.3
10	OTHER	CLU	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_SMALL	130	25.8
11	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_LARGE	151	11.2
12	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0.3-0.7	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_LARGE	38	30.4
13	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_<0.3	KIND_entity	SEC_NA	MCAP_MID	142	11.5
14	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_<0.3	KIND_entity	SEC_NA	MCAP_LARGE	880	10.6
15	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0.3-0.7	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_LARGE	221	10.0
16	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_LARGE	238	8.3
17	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_0.01-0.1	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_UP	MCAP_SMALL	34	9.2
18	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_0.01-0.1	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_UP	MCAP_SMALL	52	14.6
19	OTHER	CLU	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_DOWN	MCAP_MID	51	12.2
20	OTHER	CLU	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_UP	MCAP_SMALL	133	10.5
21	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_<0.3	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_MID	45	8.8
22	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_0.01-0.1	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_MID	35	20.6
23	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_NA	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_MID	34	10.4
24	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_DOWN	MCAP_MID	64	26.5
25	BOARD	SOLO	PMC_0.01-0.1	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_FLAT	MCAP_SMALL	40	35.3
26	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_0.5-2	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_MICRO	52	10.6
27	OTHER	SOLO	PMC_<0.01	EP_0	KIND_direct	SEC_NA	MCAP_MID	3280	77.7

Sample declarations (top 10 patterns)

#1 OTHER|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_entity|SEC_FLAT|MCAP_LARGE

• 2023-10-10 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=19.3% declId=cmpb1c6va00gfps4lnz5asdy8
• 2023-10-10 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=19.3% declId=cmpb1c6it007lps4lsqfqil6n
• 2023-10-10 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=19.3% declId=cmpb1c6l40087ps4lffx9ebj7

#2 OTHER|CLU|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_direct|SEC_DOWN|MCAP_SMALL

• 2024-12-03 Juan Carlos JARAMILLO company=cmo5y5437004fvp2w2c0588aj r90=77.9% declId=cmo67dpkb0a6qvpkczl9rx8b8
• 2024-12-03 Peter BÜHLER company=cmo5y5437004fvp2w2c0588aj r90=77.9% declId=cmo67dp430a5tvpkc4art6g8k
• 2024-12-03 FRANCK GRIMAUD company=cmo5y5437004fvp2w2c0588aj r90=77.9% declId=cmo67dp430a5svpkchdccicr4

#3 OTHER|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_entity|SEC_UP|MCAP_LARGE

• 2023-03-07 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=66.8% declId=cmpb1c6u300f9ps4lwexva8b2
• 2023-03-07 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=66.8% declId=cmpb1c6uc00fbps4lm418guqc
• 2023-03-07 Anonymous (Diretor ou Vinculado) company=cmp8scohi0cie2j7on28urswr r90=66.8% declId=cmpb1c6uc00ffps4l7lo95tpg

#4 OTHER|SOLO|PMC_NA|EP_<0.3|KIND_direct|SEC_UP|MCAP_LARGE

• 2026-01-09 NAMITA SHAH company=cmo5y53x8000wvp2wifkym0l5 r90=44.4% declId=cmo67d5pq01pvvpkcx66e6uu5
• 2026-01-09 JEAN PIERRE SBRAIRE company=cmo5y53x8000wvp2wifkym0l5 r90=44.4% declId=cmo67d5q101pzvpkccfeee933
• 2026-01-09 PATRICK POUYANNE company=cmo5y53x8000wvp2wifkym0l5 r90=44.4% declId=cmo67d5q401qfvpkc92mu6li4

#5 OTHER|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_0.7+|KIND_entity|SEC_NA|MCAP_LARGE

• 2025-09-08 Anonymous (Controlador ou Vinculado) company=cmpa629im0e9l2j3juhfa6ise r90=35.1% declId=cmpbh087o1grt2jknod8scoat
• 2025-09-08 Anonymous (Controlador ou Vinculado) company=cmpa629im0e9l2j3juhfa6ise r90=35.1% declId=cmpbh087o1grn2jkn6k7et69x
• 2025-09-08 Anonymous (Controlador ou Vinculado) company=cmpa629im0e9l2j3juhfa6ise r90=35.1% declId=cmpbh087o1grr2jkn6s3h4upf

#6 BOARD|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_<0.3|KIND_direct|SEC_NA|MCAP_MID

• 2025-07-28 Schulz, Thomas company=cmp8whaz500s12jarsf0rc7op r90=25.4% declId=cmpb1bxq901bbpssz5fv3ul2d
• 2025-07-28 Liljedahl, Ulf company=cmp8whaz500s12jarsf0rc7op r90=25.4% declId=cmpb1bxri01d3psszykc1mvh1
• 2025-07-28 Nilsson, Gun company=cmp8whaz500s12jarsf0rc7op r90=25.4% declId=cmpb1bxqq01cbpsszzus2wr3d

#7 CEO|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_direct|SEC_NA|MCAP_LARGE

• 2024-08-15 Sean Doyle company=cmpadmap695kx2jcxv71fmi06 r90=40.1% declId=cmpbh0ul73cph2jknrd0cj0vi
• 2024-08-15 Lynne Embleton company=cmpadmap695kx2jcxv71fmi06 r90=40.1% declId=cmpbh0ul73cpg2jknnqd1w5oy
• 2024-08-15 Adam Daniels company=cmpadmap695kx2jcxv71fmi06 r90=40.1% declId=cmpbh0ul73cpf2jkn9ecrofzk

#8 BOARD|SOLO|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_direct|SEC_DOWN|MCAP_MICRO

• 2025-11-13 Vincent BAZI company=cmo5y53x8000nvp2wfomdw0ay r90=53.3% declId=cmo67da0v036pvpkciu6125q6
• 2025-11-13 Vincent BAZI company=cmo5y53x8000nvp2wfomdw0ay r90=53.3% declId=cmo67da1s037nvpkcw2cu53y1
• 2025-11-13 Vincent BAZI company=cmo5y53x8000nvp2wfomdw0ay r90=53.3% declId=cmo67d9q202xxvpkcc1f5sn48

#9 BOARD|CLU|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_direct|SEC_DOWN|MCAP_SMALL

• 2024-12-02 Anne-Marie GRAFFIN company=cmo5y5437004fvp2w2c0588aj r90=69.8% declId=cmo67dpn50a9tvpkc9brhos20
• 2024-12-03 Amélie OYARZABAL company=cmo5y53x9001bvp2wf8cs77v8 r90=42.2% declId=cmo67dp2b0a3zvpkc9airxj0r
• 2023-11-06 Marc Massiot company=cmo5y545u006nvp2wh8aejghr r90=41.5% declId=cmo67e34h0hyzvpkcyfj9326n

#10 OTHER|CLU|PMC_<0.01|EP_0|KIND_direct|SEC_FLAT|MCAP_SMALL

• 2025-07-03 Joanna DZIUBAK company=cmo5y5436002vvp2weqwndrbs r90=100.6% declId=cmo67dez8058zvpkc9io0ac80
• 2025-07-22 Eric JOLIVET company=cmo5y5436002vvp2weqwndrbs r90=88.1% declId=cmo67de1j04vvvpkcvfilqrw2
• 2025-07-22 Thomas JOLIVET company=cmo5y5436002vvp2weqwndrbs r90=88.1% declId=cmo67de1j04vrvpkcia7gdurc

V15 candidate boost rules

From the stable patterns above (IS+OOS positive, n>=30), the V15 pattern boost multiplier accumulates +0.05 per matched signature, capped at +0.40, applied to the V14 base score. See scripts/_v13_bakeoff/bake-v15_patterns.ts for the wired V15.